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Latest from Lyxor

Latest from Lyxor

16 Sept 2019: Risk assets make further gains

Risk assets extended their rally over the week, boosted by signs of progress in US-China trade talks and accommodative policy from the ECB. US equities received moderate support from President Trump’s planned tax overhaul aimed at middle-income households next year. In Europe, the ECB delivered more stimulus than had been expected, causing bond yields to rebound. Sentiment towards emerging markets improved thanks to the encouraging trade talks.

All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve next week, with a 25bp rate cut overwhelmingly expected at the FOMC meeting. Deputy-level talks between the US and China are set to resume, with discussions expected to cover the trade balance, market access, investor protection and the exchange rate. In Europe, investors will be looking closely at the ZEW survey in Germany in light of the German economy’s contraction in Q2 and the prospect of fiscal easing. In emerging markets, China is due to release another batch of high-frequency data, including industrial production, money supply, investments and retail sales.

Source: Lyxor International Asset Management. Figures reported in local currency terms. Past performance is no guide to future returns. Data as at

Our key calls

Week commencing 16/09/2019

Long US equities

Last week the US announced that it would delay its planned increase in tariffs on USD 250 billion of Chinese goods from 25% to 30% from 1 to 15 October, and further high-level talks are scheduled to take place next week. Any extra delay to tariffs being hiked could provide further support to US equities.


Buy eurozone banks

Last week the ECB cut interest rates by 10bp to -0.50%, promising that rates would stay low for longer, and it also stated that it would buy EUR 20 billion of bonds each month, starting in November. In addition, the central bank introduced a tiering system under which a portion of bank deposits, currently set at six times their mandatory reserves, is exempted from charge. This supported the performance of European banks, which are still trading at depressed valuations. The prospect of fiscal easing could provide them with another boost.

Lyxor EURO STOXX Banks (DR) UCITS ETF

Emerging debt looks to have strong potential

The progress in trade talks between the US and China has improved sentiment towards emerging markets in general. Emerging debt should also receive support in the form of loose monetary policy across the board.

Lyxor iBoxx $ Liquid Emerging Markets Sovereigns

Things we are watching out for

The Main Event

comming soon

15
July

Coming soon...

Other major events

4 more things to put in the diary

7-8 Sept

China GDP, IP, retail sales. US earnings season starts

09
Sept

UK Parliament suspension starts 

12
Sept

ECB decision, OPEC, US CPI

16
Sept

China data

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These are the views, opinions and recommendations of Lyxor International Asset Management (“LIAM”) Cross Asset and ETF research analysts and/or strategists as at 06 09 2019. To the extent that this research contains trade ideas based on macro views of economic market conditions or relative value, it may differ from the fundamental Cross Asset and ETF Research opinions and recommendations contained in Cross Asset and ETF Research sector or company research reports and from the views and opinions of other departments of LIAM and its affiliates. Lyxor Cross Asset and ETF research analysts and/ or strategists routinely consult with LIAM sales and portfolio management personnel regarding market information including, but not limited to, pricing, spread levels and trading activity of ETFs tracking equity, fixed income and commodity indices. Trading desks may trade, or have traded, as principal on the basis of the research analyst(s) views and reports. Lyxor has mandatory research policies and procedures that are reasonably designed to   ensure that purported facts in research reports are based on reliable information and (ii) to prevent improper selective or tiered dissemination of research reports. In addition, research analysts receive compensation based, in part, on the quality and accuracy of their analysis, client feedback, competitive factors and LIAM’s total revenues including revenues from management fees and investment advisory fees and distribution fees. Click here for more.